The bookmakers get it wrong. We show you where.

For every game, Nostragoal computes its own probabilities and compares them with the market's odds: you see where the market is wrong, before kickoff.

NBAExample

LakersvWarriors

Lakers win

69%

Odds 1.62 · 60%

Warriors win

31%

Odds 2.40 · 40%

Nostragoal The odds' probability, bookmaker margin removed

+9 pts gap for the LakersProjected score 115 – 109

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Every major league. Soccer and US sports.

Everything that matters before the game, on one screen.

Form, projected score, absences, market odds and today's news: every analysis puts the two teams face to face, line by line, and shows where the odds get it wrong.

Probabilities computed, not guessed.
A statistical model fed with real games and market odds.
The AI reads the news for you.
Injuries, lineups, context: Gemini only adjusts the numbers with a cited source, and within a fixed limit.
Everything is timestamped before the game.
Then compared with the final score, in public. No edits possible.

NBA · Lakers v WarriorsExample

LakersvWarriors

WWLWW
Form, last 5: LWWLW; 69%
Win, Nostragoal line: 31%; 1.62
Odds: 2.40; 60%
Odds probability: 40%; +9
Gap: −9; 115
Projected score: 109

Lakers spread at −3.5 points: 58% for the Nostragoal line, 50% for the 1.91 odds.

AI commentary, example: the Lakers are favorites at 69% while the 1.62 odds only give them 60%: the model projects 115 to 109, driven by an offense that scores more at home than the league average. No confirmed absence justifies adjusting the numbers.

Our results, in public.

Our latest winning favorites. Every analysis is archived before kickoff, then checked against the final score.

FinalOct 8Los Angeles Lakers 114-110 Sacramento KingsOur favorite: Los Angeles Lakers at 79%Right call
FinalOct 4Portugal 2-1 NorwayOur favorite: Portugal at 47%Right call
FinalSep 29Spain 4-1 CroatiaOur favorite: Spain at 78%Right call
FinalSep 28Belgium 0-1 FranceOur favorite: France at 39%Right call

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Questions

How much does Nostragoal cost?

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How does the AI make its predictions?

A statistical model first computes the probabilities from real games (goals or points, xG, form, home field) and the market's lines. Gemini, Google's AI, then checks today's news and adjusts the numbers within a fixed limit (25% at most in soccer), with evidence for every adjustment.

Can I trust the analyses?

They rely only on real data: results, game stats, injuries, lineups, odds and sourced news. No figure is made up. Every analysis is archived before kickoff, then checked against the final score.

Can I bet with Nostragoal?

No. Nostragoal publishes predictions and analysis: it is neither a betting site nor a betting advice service. It takes no bets and is affiliated with no bookmaker. Gambling is for adults only (21+ in many US states); if you bet elsewhere, set yourself limits. Need help? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Which sports and leagues are covered?

The four major US leagues (NFL, NBA, NHL and MLB) and soccer: the big European leagues, European cups, national teams, MLS and hundreds of other competitions. How rich the data is (stats, lineups, odds) depends on the competition, and the analysis says so.

Where does the data come from?

From sports databases updated around the clock (results, stats, injuries, lineups, betting lines) and from today's news, which the AI cites with its sources.

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